Live IPO GMP

This is the growing concern of many SME IPO investors that even though applied in many SME IPOs but have not got a single allotment. Are we doing something wrong? Do we need to use any other process to apply in SME IPO? To understand it, let's discuss this with a simple example.

Assume ABC Company SME IPO figures

• SME IPO Issue Size: 20 Cr
• 50% HNI and 50% Retail quota
• Lot Size: approx 1200 shares
• IPO Price: Rs 100
• 1 Retail Application amount: Rs 1,20,000

With the above example for Rs 20 Cr IPO

• Total Lots: 1666 (Approx)
• Retail: 833 (1 lot application)
• HNI: 416 (2 lots application)

It means, only 833 retail investor applications and 416 HNI applications are to be selected. With this, one can understand why the probability of getting SME IPO is low. In conclusion, the size of SME IPO is very small and lot size is very big (1200 shares) so the numbers of allottees will be very less.

Whereas in Mainboard IPO, it is the complete opposite of SME IPO. Size of IPO is big and lot size is small (1000), So the numbers of allottees are much higher.

Second point to consider is the number of times the IPO oversubscribe which contributes to the probability of getting an IPO allotment.

GMP is traded over the counter through GMP dealers. The GMP seller only means that there is no buyer in the GMP market. This is similar to the lower circuit where there are sellers but no buyers. This situation can be caused by low IPO subscription, overselling, or negative market sentiment. This means that the listing can be at par or below the GMP price. One should consider this as a negative point.

This scenario may be temporary and may change before the day of listing. Therefore, one should always check the fundamentals and business model of the company before applying.

For every seller, there must be a buyer in the market. The same is true in the GMP market. But at some point, there are only buyers and no sellers. In the stock market, we call this the upper circuit. The same thing can happen in the GMP market if no investor is willing to sell their application. They expect a better return on the day of listing or want to hold it for a long time. One should consider this as a positive point.